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I. Kev qhia lus
Rov qab rau lub Peb Hlis 2018, Trump thov tawm 232 tom qab ua haujlwm rau hauv cov hlau thiab 10% seam ntawm cov hlau, tab sis nafta cov koom tes canada thiab Mexico tau raug zam. Nyob rau hauv Lub Xya Hli 2024, Biden Thawj Tswj Hwm ntu 301 tshaj tawm txog cov khoom lag luam hlau thiab cov khoom lag luam yooj yim ntawm Suav teb, thiab muaj cov neeg xa tawm tag nrho ntawm 35% mus rau Tebchaws Meskas. Stipulates uas cov khoom lag luam hlau los ntawm Mexico yuav ntsib ib qho nyiaj 4%, thiab cov khoom siv tau sib xyaw ua ke, thiab cov khoom siv ua ke, Iran, yuav ntsib 10% tail. Teb tias cov neeg Asmeskas hais tias cov kev tawm mus kaw lub loophole tias cov pej xeem tau ua tsis tiav, tiv thaiv cov khoom lag luam zoo li qub los ntawm kev xa tawm cov lus saum toj. Txij thaum ntawd los, Tuam Tshoj tus qauv tshaj tawm ncaj qha rau Tebchaws Meskas tau poob qis dua 8% rau lub sijhawm 25%. Nyob rau lub hli 25%. Los ntawm txhua lub teb chaws, tab sis tsis tshaj tawm thaum tus nqi se yuav siv tau. Qhov no cim qhov kev cuam tshuam ntawm 60% tariff ntawm cov khoom lag luam hlau suav thiab kev nce qib ntawm kev lag luam.
2. Kev Txom Nyem Tuam Tshoj Cov Hlau Tshaj Tawm Kev Lag Luam
Qhov cuam tshuam ntawm kev xa tawm ncaj qha rau Tuam Tshoj yog tsawg dua MIDDER East kev lag luam yog lub hom phiaj tseem ceeb ntawm kev xa tawm
Nyob rau hauv xyoo tas los, txawm hais tias Tuam Tshoj lub ntim khoom lag luam tau hloov pauv, nws feem ntau nyob hauv qib siab. Thaum Lub Kaum Ob Hlis 2024, cov ntawv xa tawm ntawm cov hlau yog 9.73 lab tons, nce ntxiv ntawm 4.85% lub hli-rau-hli thiab 25.9% xyoo-nyob rau-hli. Txij Lub Ib Hlis txog Lub Kaum Ob Hlis, qhov tseem ceeb tshaj tawm yog 110.72 lab tons, muaj 22 xyoo. Qhov no yog txhua lub sijhawm siab txij xyoo 2016. Nws tuaj yeem pom tau hais tias Asian tebchaws Esxias, xws li Nyab Laj teb, Indonesia, yog ib qho tseem ceeb export chaw rau Suav cov hlau. Saudi Arabia, Tebchaws Asmeskas Emirates thiab lwm lub tebchaws Middle Eastern tau pom muaj kev nce qib tseem ceeb hauv kev teb chaws. Txawm li cas los xij, Tuam Tshoj sib koom ntawm kev xa tawm rau North America yog yuav luag negigible. Nws yog tsim nyog sau tseg tias Brazil thiab Mexico tau nce lawv cov kev sib koom ua ke rau Suav teb nyob rau hauv lub xyoo tsis ntev los no, nrog Mexico Acciting rau ntau tshaj 10% ntawm Tuam Tshoj qhov xa tawm. Yog li ntawd, nws yuav tsum tau hais tias qhov cuam tshuam rau Tuam Tshoj cov khoom xa tawm ncaj qha rau Tebchaws Meskas, thiab nws yuav ua rau cov khoom siv hauv tsev loj, tab sis nws yuav ua rau cov khoom siv hauv tsev loj, tab sis nws yuav ua rau cov khoom siv hauv tsev
Qhov nce nyob rau hauv lub ntim ntawm 'rov-export' kev lag luam TMIFF txoj cai yuav tso rau Nyiv, Sab Qab Teb Xyoo 2018, cov lus siab rau cov neeg muaj kev loj hlob ntawm 'rov luam' pauv, noj Mexico ua piv txwv, kev lag luam steel nruab nrab ntawm Tebchaws Meskas thiab Mexico cov nyiaj Export rau Tebchaws Meskas tau tseem tshaj 40% hauv 2024, uas ntau tshaj 60 % tau rov xa tawm 'xav tias' steel hlau, nyob rau tib lub sijhawm, Tuam Tshoj loj tshaj plaws hauv Tebchaws Asmeskas, Nyab Laj teb mus rau Tebchaws Meskas. Nws tau tshaj tawm hais tias tom qab cov khoom muag tuaj txog Nyab Laj, cov khoom lag luam hauv Tebchaws Asmeskas, cov ntaub ntawv hauv Tebchaws Meskas, cov ntaub ntawv qhia tias Suav tias Tuam Tshoj cov khoom lag luam hlau mus rau Tebchaws Xeev se yog 10: 1 dua li Nyablaj, yog li nws yuav muaj txiaj ntsig rov qab mus rau Nyab Laj. Qhov no tsiv los ntawm Tebchaws Meskas yuav ua rau muaj kev sib tw ntawm cov khoom lag luam hauv ntiaj teb, thiab tib lub sijhawm ua haujlwm rau Tebchaws Asmeskas kom tshem tawm nws txoj kev vam khom rau kev tsim khoom siab Cov kab hauv Nyij Pooj thiab xwm txheej Kauslim thiab rov qab mus rau Asmeskas kev ua lag luam.
Ntawm qhov tod tes, cov qauv siv cov hlau siv hauv Tebchaws Asmeskas hauv 2024 yuav xav tias yog 137 lab tons hauv 2025, thiab nws LAB TONS hauv 2024, ib xyoos ----xyoo tsawg dua ntawm 2.4%. Txawm li cas los xij, nyob rau lub sijhawm tom ntej, nws yuav tsum tau muaj ntau lub teb chaws yuav pib tawm tsam kev tshuaj xyuas tawm tsam Tuam Tshoj kom txwv cov khoom hauv Suav hauv lawv cov teb chaws. Xyoo 2024, tus naj npawb ntawm cov neeg yuav ntau tshaj 20, npog nyob rau lub ntiaj teb, tsuas yog Nyab Laj, Brazil, European Union, thiab feem ntau ntawm cov pawg koom nrog yog cov hlau. Txawm li cas los xij, nws yog qhov tseeb tias kev loj hlob ntawm Middle East hauv kaum nrab sab hnub tuaj, feem ntau yog Unudi Arabia) tam sim no tsis tshua tawm tsam Tuam Tshoj qhov kev xa tawm, yog li ntawd Middle East tseem yuav yog lub khw muag khoom tseem ceeb hauv 2025, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog Saudi Arabia, thiab kev nce siab yuav pom tseeb.
Peb vam tias koj tuaj yeem tuaj saib peb lub Hoobkas thiab kev koom tes nrog kev koom tes.